By John Dick, CEO, CivicScience
Why / How?
Relying on our digital polling applications at CivicScience, we've done pretty well this spring in our predictions for both The Lorax & John Carter.
But these numbers only tell part of the story. If we look at only the first three weeks of data collected, we see that earlier respondents were slighly less inclined (N=7,770).
But then let's look at people we reached in the past week. It would appear that the final marketing push around the film has significantly moved the numbers of people who plan to see Hunger Games in theaters "eventually." (N=1,764)
OK. So if our past formula was any indication, viewing these numbers relative to the Lorax and John Carter movie numbers, then the Hunger Games should do about $113.75M at the box office this weekend. That would put it among the top 15 highest-grossing opening weekends ever. We'll see how close we are OR we'll see how much more work we have to do on our models. Stay tuned.
A version of this post originally appeared at http://about.civicscience
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