The 2011 Golden Globe Awards aren't until January 16 at 8PM ET, but the Moviefone staff has already selected our picks for which movies and stars will go home winners.

By now, many of the races seem set in stone, thanks to a number of powerhouse performances in 2010, from Natalie Portman in 'Black Swan' to Colin Firth in 'The King's Speech.'

But the Hollywood Foreign Press occasionally likes to throw us a curveball, so even the biggest frontrunners may want to sit a little closer to the edge of their seats.

After the jump, see who we think will -- and should -- win on Sunday evening.


Best Picture (Drama)
'Black Swan'
'The Fighter'
'Inception'
'The King's Speech'
'The Social Network'

Will/Should Win: 'The Social Network'
'The King's Speech' has the most nominations (seven), but we think the award will go to 'The Social Network' instead, which swept the precursors and has shown no signs of slowing down yet.

But keep an eye out for contenders like 'Black Swan' and 'The Fighter,' as the Hollywood Foreign Press Association sometimes goes for the underdog in this category. (See: 'Babel,' in 2006, and 'Atonement,' in 2007.)

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
'Alice in Wonderland'
'Burlesque'
'The Kids Are All Right'
'Red'
'The Tourist'

Will/Should Win: 'The Kids Are All Right'
In a mostly ho-hum field, the critically acclaimed indie 'The Kids Are All Right' shouldn't have too much trouble winning here, especially since it's the only legitimate Oscar contender of the group. (Sorry, 'The Tourist'!) But if the HFPA is more swayed by star power this year, as they have been in the past, expect an upset from mega-blockbuster 'Alice in Wonderland.'

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, 'Black Swan'
David Fincher, 'The Social Network'
Tom Hooper, 'The King's Speech'
Christopher Nolan, 'Inception'
David O'Russell, 'The Fighter'

Will/Should Win: David Fincher, 'The Social Network'
Even if 'The Social Network' doesn't win Best Picture on Sunday, David Fincher is practically a lock to take home the award for Best Director. His only challenger? Darren Aronofsky, though we think his year is still to come.

Best Actor (Drama)
Jesse Eisenberg, 'The Social Network'
Colin Firth, 'The King's Speech'
James Franco, '127 Hours'
Ryan Gosling, 'Blue Valentine'
Mark Wahlberg, 'The Fighter'

Will Win: Colin Firth, 'The King's Speech'
Firth won rave reviews and a handful of critics' awards for his performance as the stammering King George VI -- and there's no stopping him now. A victory here is a stepping stone to his inevitable Oscar win in February.
Should Win: James Franco, '127 Hours'
As much as we loved Firth in 'The King's Speech,' our heart belongs to Franco, whose charming and emotional performance in '127 Hours' carried the movie.

Best Actress (Drama)
Halle Berry, 'Frankie and Alice'
Nicole Kidman, 'Rabbit Hole'
Jennifer Lawrence, 'Winter's Bone'
Natalie Portman, 'Black Swan'
Michelle Williams, 'Blue Valentine'

Will/Should Win: Natalie Portman, 'Black Swan'
With Annette Bening nominated on the comedy side, Portman is a lock to win for her dazzling performance as good-girl-gone-crazy Nina Sayres in 'Black Swan.' If we were her, we'd have our speech ready to go.

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)
Johnny Depp, 'Alice in Wonderland'
Johnny Depp, 'The Tourist'
Paul Giamatti, 'Barney's Version'
Jake Gyllenhaal, 'Love and Other Drugs'
Kevin Spacey, 'Casino Jack'

Will Win: Johnny Depp, 'Alice in Wonderland'
Since none of these performances are major Oscar contenders, we think the award will go to the biggest star of the group, Depp. The HFPA nominated him twice, after all, and 'Alice in Wonderland' was one of the biggest hits of the year.
Should Win: Jake Gyllenhaal, 'Love and Other Drugs'
Though the movie wasn't as good as we'd hoped, we were still won over by Gyllenhaal's leading man charisma -- enough to hand him the Globe in this relatively weak field.

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)
Annette Bening, 'The Kids Are All Right'
Anne Hathaway, 'Love and Other Drugs'
Angelina Jolie, 'The Tourist'
Julianne Moore, 'The Kids Are All Right'
Emma Stone, 'Easy A'

Will/Should Win: Annette Bening, 'The Kids Are All Right'
Moore earned more laughs, but Bening was the anchor of 'The Kids Are All Right' and deserves to win. Better yet: she will. Like her biggest Oscar threat, Natalie Portman, she's a lock to win.

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, 'The Fighter'
Michael Douglas, 'Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps'
Andrew Garfield, 'The Social Network'
Jeremy Renner, 'The Town'
Geoffrey Rush, 'The King's Speech'

Will Win: Christian Bale, 'The Fighter'
Bale delivered a knockout performance in 'The Fighter' that will be tough to beat. Even Rush feels like a distant second in this race.
Should Win: Andrew Garfield, 'The Social Network'
We can't argue with Bale's performance, though we would like to see some love thrown Garfield's way, who gave arguably the most sympathetic performance in 'The Social Network.'

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, 'The Fighter'
Helena Bonham Carter, 'The King's Speech'
Mila Kunis, 'Black Swan'
Melissa Leo, 'The Fighter'
Jacki Weaver, 'Animal Kingdom'

Will/Should Win: Amy Adams, 'The Fighter'
This will probably come down to a race between the two women from 'The Fighter.' Conventional wisdom says it will go to Leo, who was wonderful as Mark Wahlberg's pushy mother, and has won her fair share of critics' prizes. But we're going with Adams instead, who, after three Golden Globe nominations, is due for a win.

Best Screenplay
'127 Hours'
'Inception'
'The Kids Are All Right'
'The King's Speech'
'The Social Network'

Will/Should Win: 'The Social Network'
Nobody can keep up with Aaron Sorkin's fast-talking screenplay. It's his race to lose -- and he won't.

Best Animated Feature Film
'Despicable Me'
'How to Train Your Dragon'
'The Illusionist'
'Tangled'
'Toy Story 3'

Will/Should Win: 'Toy Story 3'
Though it's a strong category, there's no way voters will be able to deny the highest-grossing and best (well, according to us, anyway) movie of 2010, 'Toy Story 3.'

Best Foreign Language Film
'Biutiful'
'The Concert'
'The Edge'
'I Am Love'
'In a Better World'

Will Win: 'Biutiful'
It's a tough race to call, but 'Biutiful' has a number of things going for it -- among them star power and an acclaimed director -- that should push it to the podium.
Should Win: 'I Am Love'
Luca Guadagnino's Italian melodrama deserved way more attention than it received this year, if only for Tilda Swinton's fabulous -- and criminally snubbed -- lead performance.

Best Original Score
'127 Hours'
'Alice in Wonderland'
'Inception'
'The King's Speech'
'The Social Network'

Will Win: 'The King's Speech'
Alexandre Desplat is a favorite among HFPA voters, with five nominations and one win ('The Painted Veil,' in 2006), so he may want to save room on his mantle.
Should Win: 'The Social Network'
It's clearly the most innovative score of the nominated five, plus we'll admit we'd kill to see Trent Reznor's acceptance speech.

Best Original Song
'Bound to You' - 'Burlesque'
'Coming Home' - 'Country Strong'
'I See the Light' - 'Tangled'
'There's a Place for Us' - 'The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader'
'You Haven't Seen the Last of Me' - 'Burlesque'

Will Win: 'You Haven't Seen the Last of Me' - 'Burlesque'
It's a weak category, and anybody's game. Our pick? Cher's eleventh-hour number in 'Burlesque' (c'mon, it's Cher!), though our guess is as good as yours.
Should Win: 'Coming Home - 'Country Strong'
Did we mention it's a weak category?


Complete Golden Globes 2011 Coverage