Martin Scorsese (The Departed)
Bill Condon (Dreamgirls)
Jonathon Dayton and Valerie Faris (Little Miss Sunshine)
Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu (Babel) and
Stephen Frears (The Queen)
Well, well, well. I suppose it's not shocking that the DGA nommed Condon for Dreamgirls -- they did, after all, shell their award out to Rob Marshall in 2002 for Chicago -- but I'm disappointed that they'd nom Condon over Cuaron. Oscar tends to march to the DGA's beat on Best Director (they've been a matched set for five years running), so it's a pretty safe bet that whoever ends up with the DGA's big gold plate will be counting their chickens in the days leading up to Oscar night.
This was largely a crap shoot, but I am rather shocked not to see Eastwood's name up there. Scorsese wasn't a shocker -- every last film journo whose predicitions were listed on Oscar watch had him on their lists.
My other predictions were Clint Eastwood (for Letters, not Flags), Paul Greengrass (United 93) and Alfonso Cuaron (Children of Men), and Guillermo del Toro for Pan's Labyrinth -- I was really hoping the recent critical surge for both those films might give them a leg-up, but alas, it was not to be. The Hollywood Reporter's Anne Thompson came the closest to nailing all five -- she's just that good, folks. She was the only hold out who didn't have Eastwood on her list -- the rest of us had him as a shoo-in, but clearly she pegged that one.
The only thing Thompson missed was the Dayton-Faris nod -- to give cred where its due, only Jeff Wells from Hollywood Elsewhere pegged that one (and no doubt he'll be crowing over it, but we'll grant that he has the right to do so). I'm surprised by that nom (especially in light of Cuaron and del Toro, the other two of the Three Amigos) getting the cold shoulder, but nonetheless delighted for the Little Miss Sunshine gang -- that film is just the little movie that could.
So, now that the noms are announced, who do you think will win? And will the winner take the Oscar, to boot?
**UPDATE: I should have looked closer at the predictions grid (that's what I get for writing before I've had my coffee). A second glance showed me that Thompson wasn't the only one whose crystal ball was in top form. Five other pundits scored 4/5, all of them missing only Little Miss Sunshine. The other top predictors were:
Scott Bowles (USA Today)
Pete Hammond (Hollywiretap)
Kris Tapley (InContention)
Sasha Stone (OscarWatch)
Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today)